tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8624873013842943245.post7790096012832101557..comments2012-07-13T18:32:57.485-07:00Comments on The Cranky Critter: The Gauntlet to Throw Down Beginning WednesdayCranky Critterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05509666202091121125noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8624873013842943245.post-38145006573497294062010-11-02T13:33:58.380-07:002010-11-02T13:33:58.380-07:00Darn memory. 1994 was a 54-seat swing, not 52.Darn memory. 1994 was a 54-seat swing, not 52.Tullyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03842067230152580405noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8624873013842943245.post-36230179990201746052010-11-02T07:56:12.860-07:002010-11-02T07:56:12.860-07:00I think Rasmussen has it exactly right, and have s...I think Rasmussen has it exactly right, and have said the same thing repeatedly in assorted venues. Naturally, I have been abused by partisans from both sides for so saying. Ah, well. Truth hurts, especially when it conflicts with one's cherished fantasies. <br /><br />The So-cons and Fis-cons will shortly be doing battle over the soul of the GOP, just as the leftists and centrists did battle over the soul of the DNC last cycle (leftists won). The So-cons have the "advantage" of incumbency, but then again, so did the centrists. And the rising tide of TEA this cycle is primarly that of pissed-off limited-government center-right fis-cons who mostly want the government to STFU and go away and quit interfering in their lives and making them WORSE. <br /><br />I managed to buy the "over" bet on the House months ago at GOP +38. Now I wish I'd taken the 2-1 odds on GOP +50 instead. My call for the night is GOP 49 Senate, 62 GOP House, and I suspect the House may run higher. The Senate may go one more seat either direction, but the GOP will move to at least 48, and WILL take the House with VERY comfortable majority margins, exceeding the 52-seat swing of '94.<br /><br />Krugerrands and Eagles are selling at a hair over $1400 this morning. Think I'll trot off down to my local metals dealer and build up that Xmas cash stash a bit.Tullyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03842067230152580405noreply@blogger.com